Tag Archives: RealEstateDebt

Why Stabilized Opportunity Zone Assets Are Attracting Preferred Equity

by: Adam Horowitz

Stabilization Does Not Always End the Capital Need

For many Opportunity Zone multifamily projects, the development story gets most of the attention. Sponsors focus on site control, entitlement, construction financing, lease-up, and eventually stabilization.

But stabilization does not always mean the capital stack is finished.

A sponsor may complete construction, lease the asset, and create a performing multifamily property, only to find that the balance sheet still needs work. Existing debt may need to be paid down. Capital improvements may still be required. Operations may need additional investment. Ownership may want more flexibility. The sponsor may want to hold the asset longer, but the existing capital structure may not fully support that plan.

That is where preferred equity can become relevant.

For some stabilized Opportunity Zone multifamily assets, the next challenge is not development risk. It is recapitalization.

A Stabilized Asset Can Still Need Capital

There is a common assumption that once an Opportunity Zone asset stabilizes, the hardest part is over. In many ways, that is true. Construction is complete, leasing has been established, and the asset may now have operating income.

But a stabilized property can still have a capital problem.

The original construction or bridge financing may be too expensive. The senior debt may need to be reduced. The asset may need additional capital for improvements or operational optimization. The sponsor may want to avoid a forced sale while still creating liquidity or resetting the capital stack.

In today’s market, this issue is becoming more common. Higher rates, tighter underwriting, and lower refinance proceeds can create pressure even when the property itself is performing.

The asset may be working, but the debt stack may still need to be fixed.

Why Preferred Equity Fits the Post-Stabilization Moment

Preferred equity can be attractive after stabilization because the asset has already moved through some of the riskiest parts of the business plan.

Construction is complete. Lease-up is further along. The property has a clearer valuation. Operating performance is easier to measure. The capital provider is no longer underwriting only a future development plan. They are looking at a real multifamily asset with a more established income profile.

That makes preferred equity a useful option for certain Opportunity Zone owners.

Preferred equity can help pay down existing debt, fund capital improvements, support operational improvements, and create a more flexible capital structure. It can also help sponsors avoid a full sale or a more dilutive common equity recapitalization.

This is especially important for Opportunity Zone assets, where the long-term hold period and tax structure can make ownership decisions more complicated. Sponsors may not want to sell too early. Investors may want to preserve the OZ strategy. The capital solution needs to fit the real estate and the structure.

Debt Paydown Is Becoming a Real Need

Many sponsors are not looking for capital because the asset is distressed. They are looking for capital because the capital stack was created in a different market.

A loan that made sense during development may not be the right long-term structure after stabilization. A refinance may not provide enough proceeds to fully solve the existing debt. A lender may require lower leverage. A sponsor may need to reduce pressure on the asset before moving into the next phase of ownership.

Preferred equity can help address that problem.

Instead of relying only on a larger senior loan, the sponsor can bring in preferred equity to reduce debt, improve the capital structure, and create more breathing room for the asset.

The purpose is not just to add capital. The purpose is to add capital in a position that supports the long-term strategy.

What Sponsors Should Be Prepared to Show

Preferred equity can be flexible, but it is not automatic. Capital providers still need a clear story.

Sponsors should be prepared to explain the current debt balance, stabilized occupancy, net operating income, valuation, use of proceeds, capital improvement plan, existing lender terms, and long-term ownership strategy.

They should also be able to explain why preferred equity is the right fit instead of a traditional refinance, mezzanine debt, common equity, or a sale.

The best candidates are usually assets where the real estate fundamentals are strong, the sponsor has a credible plan, and the preferred equity solves a specific capital need.

How Lever Can Help

Lever Capital Partners helps sponsors evaluate whether preferred equity is the right solution for an existing stabilized Opportunity Zone multifamily asset.

That includes reviewing the capital stack, identifying the debt paydown need, evaluating use of proceeds, and positioning the opportunity for capital providers that understand both stabilized multifamily and Opportunity Zone structures.

For sponsors, the goal is not simply to find capital. The goal is to find capital that fits the asset’s stage, risk profile, ownership goals, and long-term OZ strategy.

Lever can help sponsors determine whether the asset is a fit for preferred equity, prepare the capital story, and connect with aligned capital sources.

The Bottom Line

A stabilized Opportunity Zone multifamily asset may have passed through the riskiest phase of development, but that does not mean the capital stack is complete.

Sponsors may still need capital to pay down debt, fund improvements, create flexibility, or support long-term ownership.

For OZ sponsors, stabilization may not be the end of the story. It may be the moment when preferred equity becomes the right capital solution.

When a CRE Loan Matures and the Refinance Doesn’t Clear the Existing Debt

by: Adam Horowitz

A Loan Can Mature Before the Capital Stack Is Ready

Many CRE owners are not dealing with a broken property. They are dealing with a broken capital structure.

A property may still be occupied, generating income, and performing close to plan. But when the loan matures, the refinance may not produce enough proceeds to pay off the existing debt. That creates a difficult situation for sponsors: the asset may still be working, but the capital stack no longer clears.

This is becoming a common issue in today’s commercial real estate market. Higher rates, tighter underwriting, lower valuations, and more conservative lender assumptions are reducing refinance proceeds across many deals.

The problem is simple: the loan is due, but the new loan is not large enough to take it out.

A Performing Property Does Not Guarantee a Full Refinance

In the past, many sponsors assumed that if a property was performing, the loan would refinance. That assumption is no longer safe.

Performance still matters, but lender proceeds are based on today’s underwriting, not yesterday’s loan terms. A property that supported a certain loan amount three or five years ago may not support the same amount today.

Lenders are looking closely at debt service coverage, interest rates, valuation, cash flow stability, asset class risk, and market conditions. Even if the property is not distressed, the refinance may still come in short.

This is especially true for loans originated during a lower-rate environment. Many of those loans were sized when debt was cheaper, values were higher, and exit assumptions were more forgiving. Today, the same property may support less debt, even if operations have not materially declined.

The Refinance Math Has Changed

The refinance shortfall is often a math problem.

If interest rates are higher, the property’s income may not support the same loan amount. If cap rates have moved, the appraised value may be lower. If lenders are more cautious, they may reduce leverage or require more cushion.

For example, a sponsor may have a $40 million loan maturing, but the best refinance option only produces $33 million. That creates a $7 million gap.

That gap does not disappear just because the property is performing. It has to be solved.

The sponsor may need to bring in fresh equity, negotiate an extension, add preferred equity, consider mezzanine debt, restructure the deal, or explore a sale. In some cases, the existing lender may be willing to work with the sponsor. In other cases, the lender may expect the borrower to solve the shortfall before maturity.

The Asset May Be Fine, But the Payoff Still Has to Clear

This is one of the most important distinctions in the current market.

A refinance problem is not always a property problem. Sometimes the asset is doing what it was supposed to do, but the original capital stack was built for a different market.

A deal may have assumed cheaper permanent debt. It may have expected stronger valuations. It may have relied on a sale or refinance that no longer pencils under current conditions.

That is why performing assets can still face pressure at maturity. The issue is not always occupancy, rent collection, or asset quality. The issue is whether the deal can support enough new debt to repay the old debt.

Sponsors Should Address the Gap Early

Sponsors should not wait until the final months before maturity to understand the problem.

The earlier the refinance gap is identified, the more options the sponsor has. That means reviewing the current payoff, estimating likely refinance proceeds, testing debt service coverage under current rates, reviewing extension rights, evaluating lender flexibility, and identifying whether gap capital may be needed.

Waiting too long can reduce negotiating leverage and limit available capital options.

How Lever Can Help

Lever Capital Partners helps sponsors evaluate refinance risk before maturity and identify solutions when new loan proceeds do not fully clear the existing debt.

That can include sourcing refinance options, identifying preferred equity or mezzanine capital, negotiating with lenders, or structuring fresh equity to bridge the gap.

For sponsors facing a maturity issue, the question is not just, “Can we refinance?”

The better question is: what capital structure gives the deal the highest probability of surviving the maturity and moving forward?

Lever can help sponsors pressure-test the refinance, understand the size of the gap, and connect with capital providers aligned with the asset, timeline, and risk profile.

The Bottom Line

A maturing CRE loan is no longer just a debt event. It is a capital structure test.

The property may still be performing, but if refinance proceeds do not clear the existing payoff, the sponsor needs a plan. That plan may involve new debt, gap equity, preferred equity, lender negotiation, or a broader restructuring.

The asset may still be working. But if the capital stack does not refinance, the deal needs a new structure.

Why Lower Rates Alone Won’t Revive Commercial Real Estate

by: Cole Cornett

For much of the past year, the commercial real estate (CRE) market has looked to the Federal Reserve for long anticipated rate cuts, hoping lower rates would reduce borrowing costs, lift asset values, and restart transaction activity. Yet the CRE market is far too large, interconnected, and dependent on lender behavior for policy shifts alone to drive a meaningful recovery. According to Clarion Partners, the U.S. CRE ecosystem totals $26.8 trillion in value, with roughly $11.7 trillion considered institutionally investable and nearly $6 trillion in outstanding debt. At this scale, monetary policy cannot quickly realign liquidity, narrow credit spreads, or repair asset level fundamentals. Rate cuts may support sentiment, but real recovery depends on three forces moving together, lender confidence, spread compression, and asset performance. Until these align, lower policy rates will not generate a sustainable rebound, and Lever Capital Partners helps clients understand these dynamics so they can make decisions based on real market drivers, not policy headlines.

Financing Assumptions Are Misaligned

Many investors underwrote acquisitions and developments assuming multiple Fed cuts would materially lower the cost of capital. However, even as policy rates ease, borrowing conditions remain tight.

PGIM reports that average spreads for stabilized office and industrial loans in Q3 2025 hovered around +197 bps over benchmarks, compared with spreads 50 to 100 bps tighter in 2018 to 2019. These wider spreads have absorbed much of the benefit of a lower base rate. As a result, all in loan coupons remain elevated. According to DRK Realty, core CRE loans in 2024 generally priced between 5.3 percent and 5.5 percent, up from roughly 4 percent the prior year, reflecting risk premiums rather than monetary policy.

Underwriting standards have also tightened. EisnerAmper reports that average office LTVs declined from roughly 65 percent in 2021 to about 47 percent by 2023, materially reducing loan proceeds. Higher DSCR requirements further constrain leverage, causing many previously feasible deals to no longer pencil. Investor assumptions from 2022 to 2023 have therefore diverged sharply from lender realities, with spreads and credit discipline, not Fed actions, determining loan terms.

The Buyer and Seller Disconnect Persists

Even with modest rate relief, buyers and sellers remain divided on valuation. Altus Group reports that U.S. CRE transaction volume reached $369.8 billion in 2024, only slightly below 2023 levels. While Q4 2024 delivered $108.5 billion in trades, a 33.6 percent increase from Q3, pricing expectations remain far apart.

Many sellers interpret early rate cuts as support for firm or higher valuations. Buyers, however, continue to wait for clearer evidence of stabilized financing markets, narrowing spreads, and reduced rate volatility. As a result, cap rates remain sticky and price discovery lags, with perceived liquidity and macro uncertainty influencing negotiations as much as projected income growth.

Liquidity, Not Policy, Drives Recovery

While rate cuts can support momentum, liquidity ultimately drives the CRE market. The Mortgage Bankers Association reports that total CRE borrowing and lending increased 16 percent in 2024 to approximately $498 billion, yet activity remains well below peak levels. Meanwhile, the St. Louis Fed notes that delinquency rates climbed to 1.57 percent, the highest level in more than a decade, representing over $47 billion in stressed loans.

An even greater challenge is the 2025 maturity wall. Kaplan Collection Agency estimates that $957 billion in CRE loans will mature in 2025, nearly three times the long term average. This refinancing pressure keeps lenders cautious regardless of Fed policy direction. Until lenders regain confidence in asset performance and valuation stability, lower rates will not automatically translate into higher leverage or tighter spreads. Rate cuts may help sentiment, but recovery begins only when lenders believe cash flows are durable and valuations predictable, allowing liquidity to return and spreads to compress.

How Lever Capital Partners Supports Clients

In a market where optimism often moves faster than fundamentals, Lever Capital Partners provides a grounded perspective. With relationships across banks, life companies, debt funds, private credit providers, and alternative capital sources, Lever helps clients navigate real time credit conditions. By assessing spreads, liquidity trends, maturity risk, and lender appetite, Lever structures capital solutions aligned with the true cost and availability of debt today.

Sources:

https://www.kaplancollectionagency.com/business-advice/is-commercial-real-estate-at-a-breaking-point-in-2025

https://www.clarionpartners.com/insights/us-cre-investable-universe

https://www.stlouisfed.org/on-the-economy/2024/may/commercial-real-estate-in-focus

https://www.mba.org/news-and-research/newsroom/news/2025/04/24/total-commercial-real-estate-borrowing-and-lending-increased-16-percent-in-2024

https://drk-realty.com/commercial-real-estate-news-articles/commercial-real-estate-loan-rates-in-2024

https://www.cbre.com/press-releases/commercial-real-estate-lending-momentum-reaches-highest-level-since-2018-cbre

https://www.pgim.com/us/en/institutional/insights/asset-class/real-estate/u.s.-cre-debt-now-time-to-invest-amid-historically-high-spreads

https://www.eisneramper.com/insights/real-estate/commercial-real-estate-outlook-0124

https://www.altusgroup.com/insights/us-cre-transactions-q4-2024

https://agorareal.com/blog/commercial-real-estate-lending-trends